Boys - Girls
New Prairie Regional
2003 - 2004 - 2005



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.



RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
Adam Martin 11 Chesterton 16:14 #31  
Jason Willis 12 Portage 16:27 #45  
Keith Ludwig 12 LaPorte 16:31 #53  
Tim Hennessy 11 Valparaiso 16:33 #59  
Rob Bailey 12 Portage 16:36 #70  
Daniel Watts 12 Valparaiso 16:44 #106  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
Portage Chesterton 317 #13  
Valparaiso Chesterton 354 #15  
Chesterton Chesterton 422 #26  

Other unranked teams:
LaPorte New Prairie 621
New Prairie New Prairie 652



Regional Simulation




Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Portage 100.0% 1.3 35 15 77 68.5 28.2 3.3
Valparaiso 100.0% 1.8 45 19 88 30.0 57.4 12.6
Chesterton 100.0% 2.8 66 25 108 1.5 14.4 82.9 1.1 0.2
LaPorte 100.0% 4.2 107 75 132 0.8 81.0 18.3
New Prairie 100.0% 4.8 120 70 148 0.5 17.9 81.6


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Adam Martin Chesterton 16:14 100.0% 1.0 66.1 18.2 8.7 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Jason Willis Portage 16:27 100.0% 2.2 14.7 30.0 25.1 15.7 8.0 3.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
Keith Ludwig LaPorte 16:31 100.0% 2.9 9.5 22.1 19.7 17.4 12.4 7.1 4.1 3.2 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
Tim Hennessy Valparaiso 16:33 100.0% 3.2 7.7 18.6 20.1 19.2 16.2 9.0 3.4 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Rob Bailey Portage 16:36 100.0% 4.0 1.6 7.9 17.7 22.6 19.9 14.0 6.9 5.1 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Daniel Watts Valparaiso 16:44 100.0% 5.8 0.5 2.2 5.9 10.5 15.3 18.7 13.1 10.8 7.2 5.7 4.1 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.1